ارزیابی خطر زنجیره‌ تأمین شرکت‌های کوچک و متوسط در اثر تهدیدات اقتصادی با رویکرد یکپارچه فازی

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان

1 کارشناسی ارشد مدیریت بحران، مجتمع دانشگاهی مهندسی و پدافند غیر عامل، دانشگاه صنعتی مالک اشتر، تهران، ایران

2 استادیار، مجتمع دانشگاهی مهندسی و پدافند غیر عامل، دانشگاه صنعتی مالک اشتر ، تهران، ایران

3 استادیار، مجتمع دانشگاهی مهندسی و پدافند غیر عامل، دانشگاه صنعتی مالک اشتر، تهران، ایران

4 استاد، مجتمع دانشگاهی مهندسی و پدافند غیر عامل، دانشگاه صنعتی مالک اشتر، تهران، ایران

چکیده

زنجیره تأمین از چندین حلقه تشکیل شده است که از نقطه تولید تا نقطه مصرف امتداد دارد؛ ایجاد تحریم‌های بین‌المللی در تأمین تجهیزات و تعمیر قطعات زیرساخت‌های حیاتی و حساس کشور چالش‌های زیادی را ممکن است ایجاد کند که این پدافند غیرعامل اقتصادی نقش بسزایی در رشد اقتصادی، تاب‌آوری، ایجاد اشتغال و... دارند؛ یک زنجیره تأمین ناقص ممکن است یک فاجعه ایجاد کند؛ در چنین شرایطی، شناسایی مناسب عوامل خطر برای دست‌یابی به یک زنجیره تأمین تاب‌آور در برابر اثرات مخرب تهدیدات و اختلالات حیاتی است؛ از این‌رو، این تحقیق با شناسایی عوامل زنجیره تأمین و تجزیه و تحلیل ارتباط آن‌ها با استفاده از یک رویکرد یکپارچه، از جمله تحلیل پارتو، نظریه فازی، مدل‌سازی ساختاری تفسیری کل و یک تحلیل طبقه‌بندی شده و تعیین سطح و رتبه‌بندی خطر‌ها، این خلاء تحقیقاتی را پر می‌کند؛ یافته‌های تحقیق نشان می‌دهد که دانش ناکافی، تغییرات زیست محیطی و عدم وجود سامانه ردیابی و کنترل، مهم‌ترین عوامل هستند؛ علاوه بر آن، عدم ثبات سیاسی و نظارتی، آلودگی و عدم صلاحیت پیمانکاران نیز برخی از خطرات حیاتی هستند که ممکن است مانع تاب‌آوری و عملکرد مطلوب در شرکت‌های کوچک و متوسط شوند. نتایج تحقیق به مدیران جهت شناسایی موفقیت‌آمیز عوامل خطر برای دست‌یابی به تاب‌آوری عملیاتی و بلندمدت کمک می‌کند؛ همچنین می‌تواند، توانایی سیاست‌گذاران را برای تدوین راهبردهای کاهش پیش‌گیرانه و کارآمد افزایش دهد.

کلیدواژه‌ها


عنوان مقاله [English]

Assessing the Supply Chain Risk of Small and Medium Companies Due to Economic Threats with a Fuzzy Integrated Approach

نویسندگان [English]

  • hamed asghari 1
  • Mohammad Eskandari 2
  • masuod darabi 3
  • Mahdi Modiri 4
1 -
2 Researcher Malek Ashtar University of Technology, Tehran, Iran
3 Director-in-Charge
4 Maleke- Ashtar University of Technology
چکیده [English]

The supply chain consists of several links that extend from the point of production to the point of             consumption; The establishment of international sanctions in the provision of equipment and repair of vital and sensitive infrastructure parts of the country may create many challenges, as these non-functional     economic defenses play a significant role in economic growth, resilience, job creation, etc.; A flawed supply chain can create a disaster; In such a situation, proper identification of risk factors is critical to achieve a resilient supply chain against the destructive effects of threats and disruptions; Hence, this research by identifying the factors of the supply chain and analyzing their relationship using an integrated approach, including Pareto analysis, fuzzy theory, total interpretative structural modeling and a categorical analysis and determining the level and ranking of risks, this research gap. fills The findings of the research show that insufficient knowledge, environmental changes and the absence of a diagnosis and control system are the most important factors; In addition to that, political and regulatory instability, pollution and             contractors' incompetence are some of the critical risks that may hinder resilience and optimal performance in small and medium-sized companies. Research results help managers to successfully identify risk factors to achieve operational and long-term resilience; It can also increase the ability of policy makers to         formulate preventive and efficient mitigation strategies.
 

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • Interpretive Structural Modeling
  • Pareto Analysis
  • Economic Passive Defense
  • Resilience
  • Supply Chain

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